Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for England Under-21s had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest England Under-21s win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
