SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain Under-21s | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Ukraine Under-21s | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Croatia Under-21s | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Romania Under-21s | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain Under-21s | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Ukraine Under-21s | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Croatia Under-21s | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Romania Under-21s | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia Under-21s win with a probability of 52.38%. A win for Spain Under-21s had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.45%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Spain Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Spain Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spain Under-21s | Draw | Croatia Under-21s |
27.32% ( 0.06) | 20.3% ( -0.17) | 52.38% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 70.83% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.19% ( 0.9) | 26.8% ( -0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.75% ( 1.14) | 47.24% ( -1.15) |
| Spain Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.42% ( 0.52) | 20.58% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.88% ( 0.82) | 53.11% ( -0.83) |
| Croatia Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.18% ( 0.33) | 10.81% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.13% ( 0.74) | 34.86% ( -0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spain Under-21s | Draw | Croatia Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.7% Total : 27.32% | 1-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.68% Total : 20.3% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 6.45% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.09)0-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 3.59% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 2.84% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 2.27% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.05)3-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.07)2-5 @ 1.26% ( 0.06)0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.52% Total : 52.38% |
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