SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-21s win with a probability of 66.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Romania Under-21s had a probability of 14.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Romania Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Romania Under-21s | Draw | Spain Under-21s |
14.72% ( -23.57) | 18.58% ( -1.99) | 66.71% ( 25.56) |
| Both teams to score 55.81% ( -19.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.03% ( -13.8) | 36.97% ( 13.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.84% ( -16.66) | 59.16% ( 16.66) |
| Romania Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.19% ( -24.06) | 37.81% ( 24.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.42% ( -33.56) | 74.58% ( 33.56) |
| Spain Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.73% ( 2.49) | 10.26% ( -2.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.37% ( 5.4) | 33.63% ( -5.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Romania Under-21s | Draw | Spain Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 4.18% ( -2.93) 1-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 1.84% ( -1.62)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -3.3)3-1 @ 1.36% ( -3.35)Other @ 2.03% Total : 14.72% | 1-1 @ 8.59% ( 1.43) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -2.56)0-0 @ 3.88% ( 2.13)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -2.15)Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.58% | 0-2 @ 10.05% ( 6.33) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 2.41)0-1 @ 8.83% ( 5.22)0-3 @ 7.63% ( 5.08)1-3 @ 7.42% ( 2.36)0-4 @ 4.34% ( 3.03)1-4 @ 4.22% ( 1.62)2-3 @ 3.61% ( -1.41)2-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.53)0-5 @ 1.98% ( 1.44)1-5 @ 1.92% ( 0.85)2-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.92% Total : 66.7% |
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