SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France Under-21s | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Italy Under-21s | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Norway Under-21s | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Switzerland Under-21s | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain Under-21s | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Ukraine Under-21s | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Croatia Under-21s | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Romania Under-21s | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-21s win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Ukraine Under-21s had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Ukraine Under-21s win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| France Under-21s | Draw | Ukraine Under-21s |
44.44% ( -0.11) | 25.02% ( 0.06) | 30.55% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.92% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.72% ( -0.25) | 47.28% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.5% ( -0.24) | 69.5% ( 0.24) |
| France Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.7% ( -0.16) | 21.3% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.76% ( -0.24) | 54.24% ( 0.24) |
| Ukraine Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% ( -0.09) | 28.95% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.17% ( -0.12) | 64.83% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| France Under-21s | Draw | Ukraine Under-21s |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 44.44% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 30.55% |
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