SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France Under-21s | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Switzerland Under-21s | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Italy Under-21s | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Norway Under-21s | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France Under-21s | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Switzerland Under-21s | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Italy Under-21s | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Norway Under-21s | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway Under-21s win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for France Under-21s had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest France Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that France Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norway Under-21s | Draw | France Under-21s |
50.16% ( 0.31) | 23.3% ( -0.06) | 26.54% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 58.89% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.93% ( 0.05) | 42.07% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.52% ( 0.06) | 64.48% ( -0.06) |
| Norway Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.09% ( 0.13) | 16.91% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.05% ( 0.24) | 46.95% ( -0.24) |
| France Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.87% ( -0.16) | 29.13% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.94% ( -0.2) | 65.06% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norway Under-21s | Draw | France Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.1% Total : 50.16% | 1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.29% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.36% Total : 26.55% |
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