SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Georgia Under-21s | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Belgium Under-21s | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Netherlands Under-21s | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Portugal Under-21s | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Georgia Under-21s | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Belgium Under-21s | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Netherlands Under-21s | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Portugal Under-21s | 2 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 49.21%. A win for Belgium Under-21s had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Belgium Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portugal Under-21s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portugal Under-21s.
| Result | ||
| Portugal Under-21s | Draw | Belgium Under-21s |
49.21% ( 0.15) | 23.74% ( -0.06) | 27.05% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 57.82% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.31% ( 0.18) | 43.69% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.92% ( 0.18) | 66.08% ( -0.18) |
| Portugal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.12% ( 0.13) | 17.87% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.35% ( 0.22) | 48.65% ( -0.22) |
| Belgium Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% ( 0.02) | 29.59% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.37% ( 0.02) | 65.63% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portugal Under-21s | Draw | Belgium Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.66% Total : 49.21% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 27.05% |
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