SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Georgia Under-21s | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Netherlands Under-21s | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Belgium Under-21s | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Portugal Under-21s | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Under-21s win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Portugal Under-21s had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Portugal Under-21s win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Portugal Under-21s | Draw | Netherlands Under-21s |
28.51% ( 0.03) | 24.94% ( 0.01) | 46.56% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.02% ( -0.01) | 47.98% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.85% ( -0.01) | 70.15% ( 0.01) |
| Portugal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.25% ( 0.02) | 30.75% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.99% ( 0.02) | 67.01% ( -0.01) |
| Netherlands Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.35% ( -0.02) | 20.65% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.77% ( -0.02) | 53.23% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portugal Under-21s | Draw | Netherlands Under-21s |
| 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0)Other @ 3% Total : 28.51% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.9% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 46.55% |
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