Mariupol
4 - 1
Desna

Ocheretko (61'), Sikan (63', 79'), Bondarenko (86')
Muravskyi (37'), Bondarenko (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Konoplia (44')
Hutsuliak (56'), Dombrovskyi (58'), Sukhotskiy (69')
Dombrovskyi (62')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Desna Chernihiv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 23.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 1-0 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Mariupol	Draw	Desna Chernihiv
23.58%	23.21%	53.21%

Both teams to score 56.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.57%

44.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.2%

66.8%

Mariupol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.22%

32.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.66%

69.33%

Desna Chernihiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.33%

16.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.47%

46.52%

Score Analysis

Mariupol 23.58%

Desna Chernihiv 53.21%

Draw 23.2%

Mariupol	Draw	Desna Chernihiv
1-0 @ 6.09% 2-1 @ 6.09% 2-0 @ 3.4% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 2.03% 3-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.44% Total : 23.58%	1-1 @ 10.91% 0-0 @ 5.46% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.2%	0-1 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-2 @ 8.77% 1-3 @ 5.84% 0-3 @ 5.24% 2-3 @ 3.26% 1-4 @ 2.62% 0-4 @ 2.35% 2-4 @ 1.46% 1-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.17% Total : 53.21%