Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.