Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Minai had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Minai win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.