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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 23
Apr 24, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Arena Lviv

Lviv
1 - 0
Desna

Oliveira (44')
Mahmutovic (56'), Dovgiy (68'), Cirjak (82'), Ernest (90+2')
Yakymets (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mostovyi (27'), Kalitvintsev (77')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between FC Lviv and Desna Chernihiv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 51.36%. A win for FC Lviv had a probability of 24.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest FC Lviv win was 1-0 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
FC LvivDrawDesna Chernihiv
24.7%23.93%51.36%
Both teams to score 54.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.49%46.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.22%68.78%
FC Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05%32.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47%69.53%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.88%18.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.93%49.07%
Score Analysis
    FC Lviv 24.7%
    Desna Chernihiv 51.36%
    Draw 23.93%
FC LvivDrawDesna Chernihiv
1-0 @ 6.63%
2-1 @ 6.28%
2-0 @ 3.68%
3-1 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 1.99%
3-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 24.7%
1-1 @ 11.32%
0-0 @ 5.97%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.93%
0-1 @ 10.19%
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-2 @ 8.71%
1-3 @ 5.51%
0-3 @ 4.96%
2-3 @ 3.06%
1-4 @ 2.35%
0-4 @ 2.12%
2-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 51.36%

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