Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Desna Chernihiv would win this match.
