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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion Yuro Gagarin

Desna
1 - 0
Rukh Lviv

Totovytsky (90')
Zhuk (40'), Kovtun (55'), Mysak (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Boryachuk (6'), Fedorchuk (26'), Prytula (53'), Karasyuk (88'), Sych (90')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Rukh Lviv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 19.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Rukh Lviv win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Desna Chernihiv in this match.

Result
Desna ChernihivDrawRukh Lviv
57.3%23.56%19.14%
Both teams to score 48.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.86%51.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.02%72.98%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37%17.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.78%48.22%
Rukh Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.04%40.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.48%77.52%
Score Analysis
    Desna Chernihiv 57.29%
    Rukh Lviv 19.14%
    Draw 23.56%
Desna ChernihivDrawRukh Lviv
1-0 @ 12.53%
2-0 @ 10.87%
2-1 @ 9.71%
3-0 @ 6.29%
3-1 @ 5.62%
4-0 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 2.44%
4-2 @ 1.09%
5-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 57.29%
1-1 @ 11.18%
0-0 @ 7.22%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 23.56%
0-1 @ 6.45%
1-2 @ 4.99%
0-2 @ 2.88%
1-3 @ 1.49%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 19.14%

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