Desna
2 - 1
Dnipro-1

Bezborodko (30'), Zaviyskiy (86')
Tsymbalyuk (47')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dovbyk (79')
Adamyuk (33'), Di Franco (40'), Loginov (43'), Pikhalyonok (75')
Di Franco (59'), Pikhalyonok (75')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Dnipro-1.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Desna Chernihiv would win this match.

Result
Desna Chernihiv	Draw	Dnipro-1
46.3%	26%	27.7%

Both teams to score 51.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.17%

52.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.55%

74.44%

Desna Chernihiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.21%

22.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.51%

56.49%

Dnipro-1 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.11%

33.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.44%

70.56%

Score Analysis

Desna Chernihiv 46.3%

Dnipro-1 27.7%

Draw 25.99%

Desna Chernihiv	Draw	Dnipro-1
1-0 @ 11.42% 2-1 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 4.51% 3-0 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.67% 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.08% Total : 46.3%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 7.72% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.99%	0-1 @ 8.36% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.31% Total : 27.7%