Mariupol
1 - 2
Desna

Kulakov (65')
Kashchuk (28'), Chobotenko (78'), P. Mikitishin (89')
Kashchuk (35')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Budkivskyi (71'), Bezborodko (90+2')
Kalitvintsev (49'), Safronov (64'), Selin (69')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Desna Chernihiv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Desna Chernihiv would win this match.

Result
Mariupol	Draw	Desna Chernihiv
31.19%	25.85%	42.96%

Both teams to score 53.48%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.41%

50.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.49%

72.5%

Mariupol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.82%

30.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.67%

66.33%

Desna Chernihiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.59%

23.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.6%

57.4%

Score Analysis

Mariupol 31.19%

Desna Chernihiv 42.95%

Draw 25.84%

Mariupol	Draw	Desna Chernihiv
1-0 @ 8.46% 2-1 @ 7.36% 2-0 @ 5.07% 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 2.03% Other @ 3.2% Total : 31.19%	1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 7.06% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 8.92% 0-2 @ 7.45% 1-3 @ 4.32% 0-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2% Total : 42.95%