Considering the gulf in quality and experience between the sides, AEK Larnaca head into Thursday as clear favourites to come out on top. While we expect Dnipro-1 to put up a fight in a bid to claim a headline-grabbing victory, we are backing the Cyprus outfit to claim a first-leg win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest AEK Larnaca win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AEK Larnaca in this match.

Result
Dnipro-1	Draw	AEK Larnaca
44.29% ( 0.02)	27.16% ( -0)	28.55% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 48.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.21% (

0.01)

56.79% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.27% (

77.73% (

-0.01)

Dnipro-1 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.5% (

0.01)

25.5% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.66% (

0.02)

60.34% (

-0.02)

AEK Larnaca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.66% (

-0.01)

35.34% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.9% (

-0.01)

72.1% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Dnipro-1 44.29%

AEK Larnaca 28.55%

Draw 27.15%

Dnipro-1	Draw	AEK Larnaca
1-0 @ 12.31% 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.29%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.15%	0-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 28.55%