SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Dnipro-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Dynamo Kiev | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Larnaca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Larnaca | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
37.49% ( 0.21) | 26.31% ( 0.06) | 36.2% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.5% ( -0.27) | 51.5% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.7% ( -0.24) | 73.3% ( 0.24) |
| AEK Larnaca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.3% ( -0.01) | 26.69% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.05% ( -0.01) | 61.95% ( 0.01) |
| Dnipro-1 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.55% ( -0.29) | 27.44% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.07% ( -0.38) | 62.93% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Larnaca | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.49% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.96% Total : 36.2% |
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