SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 49.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Dnipro-1 win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
49.65% ( -0.25) | 25.85% ( 0.09) | 24.5% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 48.83% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.59% ( -0.21) | 54.41% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.22% ( -0.17) | 75.78% ( 0.17) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.05% ( -0.19) | 21.95% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.77% ( -0.3) | 55.23% ( 0.3) |
| Dnipro-1 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.56% ( 0.03) | 37.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.77% ( 0.03) | 74.22% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Dnipro-1 |
| 1-0 @ 12.46% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.09% Total : 49.65% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.69% Total : 24.5% |
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