SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 74.66%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 9.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.25%) and 0-3 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 1-0 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
9.08% ( -0.04) | 16.26% ( -0.04) | 74.66% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 44.96% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.57% ( 0.04) | 41.42% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.18% ( 0.04) | 63.82% ( -0.04) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.68% ( -0.07) | 50.31% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.12% ( -0.04) | 84.87% ( 0.04) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.49% ( 0.03) | 9.5% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.12% ( 0.07) | 31.87% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chornomorets Odesa | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 1-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 9.08% | 1-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 16.26% | 0-2 @ 13.24% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 10.38% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 7.14% ( 0)0-4 @ 6.11% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.44% 0-6 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.35% Total : 74.64% |
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