SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 53.16%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 23.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dnipro-1 | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
53.16% ( 0.34) | 23.3% ( -0.03) | 23.54% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.14% ( -0.18) | 44.86% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.79% ( -0.18) | 67.21% ( 0.18) |
| Dnipro-1 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.16% ( 0.05) | 16.84% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.17% ( 0.1) | 46.83% ( -0.1) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.95% ( -0.36) | 33.05% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.36% ( -0.41) | 69.64% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dnipro-1 | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 53.16% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.29% | 0-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.39% Total : 23.54% |
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