Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 18.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.