Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 2-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
