Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 72.27%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 10.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.35%) and 0-3 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Mariupol win it was 1-0 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
