Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 14.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.34%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barcelona in this match.
