SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Kolos Kovalivka | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Dnipro-1 | 2 | 5 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Inhulets | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 11 | Chornomorets Odesa | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 12 | FC Lviv | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 71.02%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 10.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
71.02% ( 0.35) | 17.99% ( -0.09) | 10.98% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 46.32% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.37% ( -0.29) | 43.63% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.98% ( -0.28) | 66.02% ( 0.28) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89% ( 0.01) | 11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.72% ( 0.03) | 35.28% ( -0.03) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.04% ( -0.65) | 47.96% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.8% ( -0.48) | 83.2% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 2-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.69% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.67% Total : 71.02% | 1-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.69% Total : 17.99% | 0-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.54% Total : 10.98% |
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