SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 14.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 2-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
14.57% ( 0.07) | 19.02% ( 0.03) | 66.4% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.77% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.56% ( 0.04) | 39.43% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.22% ( 0.04) | 61.77% ( -0.04) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.44% ( 0.12) | 39.56% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.75% ( 0.11) | 76.25% ( -0.11) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.97% ( -0.01) | 11.03% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.65% ( -0.03) | 35.35% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 14.57% | 1-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.02% | 0-2 @ 10.6% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0)0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 7.79% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 7.23% ( -0)0-4 @ 4.29% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.98% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.85% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.76% ( -0)Other @ 4.2% Total : 66.4% |
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