Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kolos Kovalivka win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kolos Kovalivka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.