Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Desna Chernihiv win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
