Oleksandriya
2 - 1
Mariupol

Tretyakov (35' pen.), Kozhushko (86')
Melnyk (11'), Dryshliuk (57')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Spirovski (25')
Chekh (41'), Myshnyov (58'), Bosancic (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between FC Oleksandriya and Mariupol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Oleksandriya would win this match.

Result
FC Oleksandriya	Draw	Mariupol
43.04%	26.92%	30.03%

Both teams to score 49.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.7%

55.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.48%

76.52%

FC Oleksandriya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.54%

25.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.71%

60.28%

Mariupol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.58%

33.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.95%

70.04%

Score Analysis

FC Oleksandriya 43.03%

Mariupol 30.03%

Draw 26.92%

FC Oleksandriya	Draw	Mariupol
1-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 7.96% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.03%	1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.51% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.92%	0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.03%