Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mariupol win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mariupol win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.