Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.
