SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
64.05% ( -0.01) | 20.86% ( 0.02) | 15.09% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.84% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.38% ( -0.11) | 46.62% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.11% ( -0.1) | 68.89% ( 0.1) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.15% ( -0.04) | 13.85% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.77% ( -0.07) | 41.23% ( 0.07) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.69% ( -0.09) | 43.31% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.45% ( -0.07) | 79.55% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.72% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.82% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 64.04% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.86% | 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.1% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.51% Total : 15.09% |
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