SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Veres had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Veres win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Veres | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
33.99% ( -0.17) | 26.62% ( -0.11) | 39.4% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 51.9% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.99% ( 0.43) | 53.01% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.4% ( 0.36) | 74.6% ( -0.36) |
| Veres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.46% ( 0.1) | 29.53% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.44% ( 0.12) | 65.55% ( -0.12) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( 0.36) | 26.34% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.52% ( 0.47) | 61.47% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Veres | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.99% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.39% |
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