SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.49%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
34.67% ( -0.21) | 23.91% ( -0.01) | 41.42% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 61.4% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.2% ( -0.01) | 40.79% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.82% ( -0.01) | 63.18% ( 0.01) |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.7% ( -0.12) | 23.3% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.76% ( -0.18) | 57.24% ( 0.18) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.05% ( 0.09) | 19.95% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.89% ( 0.15) | 52.1% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 34.67% | 1-1 @ 10.91% 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.73% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 41.42% |
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