SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 57.84%. A win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had a probability of 21.33% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.13%) and 0-1 (7.77%). The likeliest Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win was 2-1 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
21.33% ( -0.07) | 20.82% ( -0.06) | 57.84% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 61.29% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.93% ( 0.21) | 36.07% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.83% ( 0.23) | 58.17% ( -0.24) |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.91% ( 0.06) | 30.08% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.78% ( 0.07) | 66.22% ( -0.08) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.66% ( 0.1) | 12.34% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.85% ( 0.22) | 38.15% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.24% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 21.33% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.82% | 1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 6.81% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.67% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.97% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.23% Total : 57.84% |
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