Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 69.29%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had a probability of 12.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
0.22) 
-0.06) 
