SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
44.42% ( -0.09) | 23.61% ( -0.01) | 31.96% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 61.55% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.8% ( 0.09) | 40.19% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.43% ( 0.09) | 62.56% ( -0.09) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% | 18.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.43% ( -0) | 49.56% ( 0) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% ( 0.1) | 24.56% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.95% ( 0.14) | 59.04% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0)Other @ 3.59% Total : 44.42% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.96% |
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