SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 59.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Olimpik Donetsk had a probability of 17.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.52%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Olimpik Donetsk win it was 1-0 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Olimpik Donetsk | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 17.66% | 23.32% | 59.02% |
| Both teams to score 46.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.79% | 52.21% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.09% | 73.92% |
| Olimpik Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.69% | 43.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.45% | 79.55% |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.6% | 17.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.18% | 47.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Olimpik Donetsk | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 1-0 @ 6.31% 2-1 @ 4.61% 2-0 @ 2.64% 3-1 @ 1.29% 3-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.7% Total : 17.66% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 7.54% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 13.17% 0-2 @ 11.52% 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-3 @ 6.72% 1-3 @ 5.62% 0-4 @ 2.94% 1-4 @ 2.46% 2-3 @ 2.35% 2-4 @ 1.03% 0-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.54% Total : 59.01% |
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