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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 23
Apr 25, 2021 at 12pm UK
Slavutych Arena

Luhansk
2 - 1
Olimpik Donetsk

Yurchenko (12' pen.), Kargbo Jr (54' pen.), Zahedi (71')
Kabaiev (23'), Danny Ekra (33'), Favorov (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Zorya Luhansk and Olimpik Donetsk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 57.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Olimpik Donetsk had a probability of 20.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Olimpik Donetsk win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.

Result
Zorya LuhanskDrawOlimpik Donetsk
57.32%22.64%20.04%
Both teams to score 52.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.83%46.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.53%68.47%
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14%15.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.94%45.06%
Olimpik Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.89%37.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.1%73.9%
Score Analysis
    Zorya Luhansk 57.31%
    Olimpik Donetsk 20.04%
    Draw 22.64%
Zorya LuhanskDrawOlimpik Donetsk
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-0 @ 9.98%
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 6.13%
3-1 @ 6.07%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-0 @ 2.82%
4-1 @ 2.8%
4-2 @ 1.39%
5-0 @ 1.04%
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 57.31%
1-1 @ 10.74%
0-0 @ 5.89%
2-2 @ 4.9%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.64%
0-1 @ 5.83%
1-2 @ 5.32%
0-2 @ 2.89%
1-3 @ 1.76%
2-3 @ 1.62%
0-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 20.04%

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