Kovalivka
1 - 3
Shakhtar

Ilyin (41')
Chornomorets (32'), Lysenko (45'), Novak (81')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Matviyenko (15'), Fernando (25'), Mudryk (72')
Bondarenko (36'), Patrick (47'), Marlos (59'), Fernando (79')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Kolos Kovalivka and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 2-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Kolos Kovalivka	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
16.54%	20.22%	63.24%

Both teams to score 54.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.04%

40.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.64%

63.36%

Kolos Kovalivka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.03%

37.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.26%

74.74%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.67%

12.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.85%

38.15%

Score Analysis

Kolos Kovalivka 16.54%

Shakhtar Donetsk 63.23%

Draw 20.22%

Kolos Kovalivka	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 4.6% 1-0 @ 4.54% 2-0 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.55% 3-1 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.18% Total : 16.54%	1-1 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 4.81% 0-0 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.22%	0-2 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-1 @ 9.8% 0-3 @ 7.16% 1-3 @ 6.93% 0-4 @ 3.74% 1-4 @ 3.63% 2-3 @ 3.36% 2-4 @ 1.76% 0-5 @ 1.57% 1-5 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.6% Total : 63.23%