Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
