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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 9
Sep 26, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion Yuro Gagarin

Desna
1 - 2
Metalist Kharkiv

Totovytsky (12')
Voloshyn (20')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Marlyson (1'), Kravchenko (49')
Fabinho (19'), Kravchenko (52'), Gabelok (55')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Metalist Kharkiv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Desna ChernihivDrawMetalist Kharkiv
42.85%27.85%29.3%
Both teams to score 46.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.03%58.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.55%79.44%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75%27.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32%62.67%
Metalist Kharkiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.07%35.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3%72.7%
Score Analysis
    Desna Chernihiv 42.84%
    Metalist Kharkiv 29.3%
    Draw 27.84%
Desna ChernihivDrawMetalist Kharkiv
1-0 @ 12.72%
2-1 @ 8.47%
2-0 @ 8.27%
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-0 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 1.88%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 42.84%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 9.79%
2-2 @ 4.34%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.84%
0-1 @ 10.02%
1-2 @ 6.67%
0-2 @ 5.13%
1-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 29.3%

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