SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Minai had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Minai win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Minai |
50.3% ( 0.44) | 25.83% ( -0.38) | 23.86% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.25% ( 0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.15% ( 1.33) | 54.85% ( -1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.86% ( 1.09) | 76.14% ( -1.09) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.16% ( 0.75) | 21.84% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.93% ( 1.13) | 55.07% ( -1.13) |
| Minai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.74% ( 0.68) | 38.26% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.98% ( 0.65) | 75.02% ( -0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Minai |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.09% Total : 50.3% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.44)2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.57% Total : 23.86% |
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