SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metalist Kharkiv win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for FC Lviv had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest FC Lviv win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | FC Lviv |
40.22% ( 0.62) | 28.08% ( -0.26) | 31.7% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 46.91% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.95% ( 0.83) | 59.05% ( -0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.49% ( 0.64) | 79.51% ( -0.64) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( 0.76) | 28.73% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.43% ( 0.94) | 64.57% ( -0.94) |
| FC Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.83% ( 0.18) | 34.17% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.14% ( 0.19) | 70.87% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | FC Lviv |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.68% Total : 40.22% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.07% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.31% Total : 31.7% |
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