SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Lviv win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rukh Lviv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rukh Lviv | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
38.83% ( -0.2) | 27.14% ( 0.47) | 34.03% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 50.27% ( -1.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.91% ( -1.89) | 55.09% ( 1.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.66% ( -1.58) | 76.35% ( 1.59) |
| Rukh Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.37% ( -1) | 27.63% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.84% ( -1.31) | 63.17% ( 1.32) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% ( -1.1) | 30.54% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.23% ( -1.33) | 66.77% ( 1.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rukh Lviv | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.83% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.6)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 7.63% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.02% |
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