SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Roma | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 14 | 30 | 35 |
| 2 | Dynamo Kiev | 14 | 28 | 35 |
| 3 | Zorya Luhansk | 14 | 17 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 20.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
56.2% ( -1.35) | 23.27% ( 0.3) | 20.53% ( 1.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.69% ( 0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.83% ( 0.12) | 48.17% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.67% ( 0.11) | 70.33% ( -0.11) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.05% ( -0.43) | 16.95% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.97% ( -0.77) | 47.04% ( 0.77) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.25% ( 1.18) | 37.76% ( -1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.47% ( 1.13) | 74.53% ( -1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 1-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.34)2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.01% Total : 56.19% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.27% | 0-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.59% Total : 20.53% |
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