Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Minai had a probability of 16.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Minai win it was 1-0 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
Result | ||
Minai | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
16.84% ( -0.28) | 20.79% ( -0.11) | 62.37% ( 0.4) |
Both teams to score 53.06% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.97% ( 0.02) | 43.03% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.57% ( 0.02) | 65.43% ( -0.02) |
Minai Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.14% ( -0.33) | 38.85% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.41% ( -0.31) | 75.59% ( 0.31) |
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.78% ( 0.13) | 13.22% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.02% ( 0.26) | 39.98% ( -0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Minai | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
1-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.1% Total : 16.84% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.79% | 0-2 @ 10.51% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.09% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.7% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 3.59% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 3.39% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.6% 0-5 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 62.36% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: