SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kolos Kovalivka | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
26.91% ( -0.67) | 23.61% ( 0.07) | 49.48% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 58.12% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.77% ( -0.84) | 43.23% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.37% ( -0.84) | 65.63% ( 0.83) |
| Kolos Kovalivka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( -0.92) | 29.46% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.53% ( -1.14) | 65.47% ( 1.14) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% ( -0.09) | 17.6% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.83% ( -0.16) | 48.17% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kolos Kovalivka | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.28% Total : 26.91% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.12)0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.3)0-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 5.54% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.41% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.78% Total : 49.48% |
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