SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 73.94%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Veres had a probability of 9.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.42%) and 3-0 (10.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Veres win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Veres |
73.94% ( 0.48) | 16.64% ( -0.25) | 9.42% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 45.04% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.91% ( 0.44) | 42.09% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.51% ( 0.44) | 64.49% ( -0.44) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.15% ( 0.23) | 9.85% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.32% ( 0.54) | 32.67% ( -0.54) |
| Veres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.96% ( -0.18) | 50.04% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.31% ( -0.13) | 84.68% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Veres |
| 2-0 @ 13.23% 1-0 @ 11.42% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.19% Total : 73.93% | 1-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.63% Total : 16.64% | 0-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.09% Total : 9.42% |
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