SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
37.24% ( -0.48) | 24.51% ( 0.13) | 38.25% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 59.56% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.66% ( -0.62) | 43.34% ( 0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.26% ( -0.61) | 65.74% ( 0.61) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% ( -0.53) | 23.09% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.07% ( -0.78) | 56.93% ( 0.77) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% ( -0.1) | 22.57% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.84% ( -0.14) | 56.16% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.24% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.5% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 38.25% |
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