SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 64.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 15.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 2-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kolos Kovalivka | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
15.81% ( 0.01) | 19.49% ( 0) | 64.71% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.25% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.01% ( 0.02) | 38.99% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.69% ( 0.02) | 61.31% ( -0.02) |
| Kolos Kovalivka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.33% ( 0.03) | 37.67% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.55% ( 0.03) | 74.45% ( -0.02) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.65% ( 0) | 11.35% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.96% ( 0) | 36.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Kolos Kovalivka | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 4.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.17% 2-0 @ 2.04% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 15.81% | 1-1 @ 9.08% 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.49% | 0-2 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.34% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.17% 0-4 @ 4% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.9% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.74% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.7% Other @ 4.16% Total : 64.71% |
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